After posting my best mark Week 8, I decided to do even better Week 9. I ended up at 9-4, which raised my overall percentage by 2 points to 55%. My PotW was also correct (Dallas over Cleveland), which improves my record there to 6-3. I whiffed on my upset picks again (really Philly? and Denver), dropping me to a miserable 9-17. That's not 9 FOR 17 by the way, it's 9 AND 17. Ouch.
My only losses were the 2 upset picks I mentioned (Philadelphia at New York Giants and Denver at Oakland), as well as Minnesota losing at home to Detroit, and Green Bay doing the same against Indianapolis. Hoping to make Week 10 my third winning week in a row...
Thursday, November 10, 2016
Thursday, November 3, 2016
2016 NFL Picks Week 9
Another week, another tie! Of the remaining 12 games I finished with my best week at 8-4, to raise my overall percentage by 1 to 53%. Of course my Pick of the Week (Minnesota) lost, so I wouldn't take my recommendations on that. Once again I went against my "rule" of never picking an away team or a division game. Oops. Now 5-3 for the season. To make things worse I was incorrect in both my upset picks, which drops me to 9-15 (probably my worst mark to date).
Aside from the aforementioned tie between Cincinnati and Washington in London, my losses included Detroit at Houston (upset pick), Seattle at New Orleans, Arizona at Carolina (upset pick), and Minnesota at Chicago. Looks like I should have went with the home teams!
On to Week 9, another shortened schedule due to 6 byes:
Aside from the aforementioned tie between Cincinnati and Washington in London, my losses included Detroit at Houston (upset pick), Seattle at New Orleans, Arizona at Carolina (upset pick), and Minnesota at Chicago. Looks like I should have went with the home teams!
On to Week 9, another shortened schedule due to 6 byes:
Thursday, October 27, 2016
2016 NFL Picks Week 8
I just cannot gain any traction this year! I finished Week 7 with 7 wins, 7 losses, and 1 tie. I don't count ties as wins or losses, so think of it as a lost game. That being said, I stay around 52% on the year. My PotW, Atlanta, lost at home (in OT) to San Diego; I'm now 5-2. I didn't fare any better with my upset picks, as I was 1 for 4 (Oakland over Jacksonville) to drop me to 9-13 for the season. Oof.
Minnesota, much to my approval, lost to Philadelphia. Washington was unable to upset Detroit. Buffalo, despite being road favorites, lost to Miami. Tennessee couldn't get a home win against Indianapolis. Baltimore couldn't pull of an upset at the New York Jets. As mentioned earlier Atlanta could not get the home win vs San Diego. Finally, I don't know why I bothered to pick San Francisco with a home upset against Tampa Bay. On to a short Week 8, with only 13 games due to byes:
Minnesota, much to my approval, lost to Philadelphia. Washington was unable to upset Detroit. Buffalo, despite being road favorites, lost to Miami. Tennessee couldn't get a home win against Indianapolis. Baltimore couldn't pull of an upset at the New York Jets. As mentioned earlier Atlanta could not get the home win vs San Diego. Finally, I don't know why I bothered to pick San Francisco with a home upset against Tampa Bay. On to a short Week 8, with only 13 games due to byes:
Wednesday, October 19, 2016
2016 NFL Picks Week 7
What do you know, a good week! I finished at 9-6, which raised my overall percentage slightly to 52%. Another couple good weeks and I'll be feeling a little better about this year. Though I forgot to add it to last week's post, my Pick of the Week was Buffao which I got correct to improve to 5-1. I was 2 for 4 in upset picks (New Orleans and Jacksonville), which moves me to 8-9 on the year.
The losses started early, as I incorrectly picked Denver to beat San Diego on the road. Pittsburgh were also road favorites, but shit the bed against Miami. I am likely cursed at picking Philadelphia, as they played poorly at Washington. Oakland was unable to pull off the home upset against Kansas City. Green Bay hasn't looked themselves this year, as Dallas came in and beat them easily. Finally, I thought Houston hadn't been playing well so picked them to lose against Indianapolis at home (who was playing better lately), but that didn't happen.
On to Week 7:
The losses started early, as I incorrectly picked Denver to beat San Diego on the road. Pittsburgh were also road favorites, but shit the bed against Miami. I am likely cursed at picking Philadelphia, as they played poorly at Washington. Oakland was unable to pull off the home upset against Kansas City. Green Bay hasn't looked themselves this year, as Dallas came in and beat them easily. Finally, I thought Houston hadn't been playing well so picked them to lose against Indianapolis at home (who was playing better lately), but that didn't happen.
On to Week 7:
Thursday, October 13, 2016
2016 NFL Picks Week 6
This year may really be tougher than usual, as I finished Week 5 at 7-7. I still only have 1 week where I picked above .500, as another 6 upsets this week didn't help. My Pick of the Week (Pittsburgh over New York Jets) was correct at least, and I improve to 4-1. I had 3 upset picks last week, and was only correct in picking Dallas over Cincinnati; I dropped to 6-7 for those picks so far this year. Let's recap the losses again as I hope for a better week!
I figured Arizona would be unable to overcome their poor play and injuries to beat San Francisco on the road, but they did. Miami is looking pretty bad this year, as they lost at home to Tennessee. Washington hasn't looked great, but went on the road to beat Baltimore. Philadelphia were favored to win at Detroit, but only played half the game well (and the refs didn't help) en route to their first loss. Denver was also handed their first loss by Atlanta, but they were at home. In a battle of 2 teams that have looked better as of late, Los Angeles was unable to maintain that level of play as Buffalo came in and beat them handily. Finally, Carolina was unable to win their home matchup against Tampa Bay on a last second FG.
I figured Arizona would be unable to overcome their poor play and injuries to beat San Francisco on the road, but they did. Miami is looking pretty bad this year, as they lost at home to Tennessee. Washington hasn't looked great, but went on the road to beat Baltimore. Philadelphia were favored to win at Detroit, but only played half the game well (and the refs didn't help) en route to their first loss. Denver was also handed their first loss by Atlanta, but they were at home. In a battle of 2 teams that have looked better as of late, Los Angeles was unable to maintain that level of play as Buffalo came in and beat them handily. Finally, Carolina was unable to win their home matchup against Tampa Bay on a last second FG.
Sunday, October 9, 2016
2016 NFL Picks Week 5
Either I'm just not as accurate this year, or there's been more upsets than usual... I'd like to go with the latter. I finished Week 4 at 7-8, which means I'm barely above .500 at 32-31. I was correct in my Pick of the Week thanks to some bad calls, but I'll take it (3-1 on the season). I was 1 for 2 in upset picks (Oakland at Baltimore), bringing my season total to 5-5. Statistically speaking I would have been better off picking all upsets, as there were a whopping 8 out of 15 games this week.
The losses for me started early on Sunday morning, with Jacksonville holding of Indianapolis in London. From there, I saw Buffalo shut out New England, Seattle traveling to beat the New York Jets, Carolina coming up short in a high scoring game against Atlanta, Detroit losing on the road to Chicago, San Francisco losing at home to Dallas, San Diego blowing the game against New Orleans, and finally Arizona being upset by Los Angeles.
Maybe Week 5 will be more predictable?
The losses for me started early on Sunday morning, with Jacksonville holding of Indianapolis in London. From there, I saw Buffalo shut out New England, Seattle traveling to beat the New York Jets, Carolina coming up short in a high scoring game against Atlanta, Detroit losing on the road to Chicago, San Francisco losing at home to Dallas, San Diego blowing the game against New Orleans, and finally Arizona being upset by Los Angeles.
Maybe Week 5 will be more predictable?
Thursday, September 29, 2016
2016 NFL Picks Week 4
Week 3 was so-so for me, as I finished at 8-8 to drop my overall percentage to 52%. I did correctly pick 2 upsets out of 3 (Denver and Atlanta), which brings me to .500 at 4-4. Unfortunately my Pick of the Week, Arizona, shit the bed against Buffalo and lost on the road. I should have listened to my own advice of not picking a road favorite as the PotW, but I didn't. Now 2-1 on the season.
Losses: Houston couldn't even put up a point at New England, Tennessee couldn't win at home against Oakland, as mentioned earlier Arizona lost to Buffalo, Jacksonville couldn't quite pull off the home upset versus Baltimore, the New York Giants lost a back and forth game to road Washington, Minnesota's defense shut down Carolina, Los Angeles finally scored a TD and beat Tampa Bay on the road, and Philadelphia absolutely destroyed Pittsburgh (I'm OK with this incorrect pick).
Week 4 sees the start of the bye weeks:
Losses: Houston couldn't even put up a point at New England, Tennessee couldn't win at home against Oakland, as mentioned earlier Arizona lost to Buffalo, Jacksonville couldn't quite pull off the home upset versus Baltimore, the New York Giants lost a back and forth game to road Washington, Minnesota's defense shut down Carolina, Los Angeles finally scored a TD and beat Tampa Bay on the road, and Philadelphia absolutely destroyed Pittsburgh (I'm OK with this incorrect pick).
Week 4 sees the start of the bye weeks:
Thursday, September 22, 2016
2016 NFL Picks Week 3
I finished Week 2 at a respectable 10-6. That at least puts me over .500 for the year. I am 2-0 in my Picks of the Week, thanks to Carolina handily defeating San Francisco. I was 1-1 in upset picks (No thanks to Jacksonville, but thanks Philly!), which brings my season total to 2 for 5.
Losses included a Tennessee upset over Detroit, Dallas on the road over Washington, Seattle failing to score a TD in Los Angeles, Oakland being upset at home by Atlanta, and Jacksonville and Green Bay unable to pull off road wins at San Diego and Minnesota respectively.
Week 3 picks ahead!
Losses included a Tennessee upset over Detroit, Dallas on the road over Washington, Seattle failing to score a TD in Los Angeles, Oakland being upset at home by Atlanta, and Jacksonville and Green Bay unable to pull off road wins at San Diego and Minnesota respectively.
Week 3 picks ahead!
Thursday, September 15, 2016
2016 NFL Picks Week 2
Making picks for Week 1 of any season is difficult (with so much about the teams unknown), but it proved especially hard in 2016. Most of the games were basically coin tosses in my opinion, and even the "easy" picks barely panned out. Brutal. Hopefully Week 2 will be a bit easier.
Friday, September 9, 2016
2016 NFL Picks Week 1
I'm back with what will be my fifth (!) year of NFL picks. I ended up picking nearly 63% of last year's games correctly, down a bit from 68% in 2014. Click the "NFL Picks" tag below to see my past picks. I'll once again attempt to pick at 70% or better this year...
I had a great playoff run last season, finishing 9-2 (82%) despite an incorrect Super Bowl 50 pick. It was my best playoffs in terms of correct predictions, though there is still room for improvement.
For those new to my picks, or those that need a refresher:
I had a great playoff run last season, finishing 9-2 (82%) despite an incorrect Super Bowl 50 pick. It was my best playoffs in terms of correct predictions, though there is still room for improvement.
For those new to my picks, or those that need a refresher:
- Winners will be bolded
- Upsets will be italicized
- *Pick of the Week* will be offset by asterisks
- Picks will be made straight up, though upsets are determined by the spread
- Upsets determined from SportsLine
On to the Week 1 picks for the 2016 NFL season!
Thursday, 8:30pm
Carolina Panthers at Denver Broncos
Sunday, 1pm
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Atlanta Falcons
Minnesota Vikings at Tennessee Titans
Cleveland Browns at Philadelphia Eagles
Cincinnati Bengals at New York Jets
Oakland Raiders at New Orleans Saints
San Diego Chargers at Kansas City Chiefs
Buffalo Bills at Baltimore Ravens
Chicago Bears at Houston Texans
Green Bay Packers at Jacksonville Jaguars
Sunday, 4pm
Miami Dolphins at *Seattle Seahawks*
New York Giants at Dallas Cowboys
Detroit Lions at Indianapolis Colts
Sunday, 8:30pm
New England Patriots at Arizona Cardinals
Monday Night Football
Pittsburgh Steelers at Washington Redskins (7:10pm)
Los Angeles Rams at San Francisco 49ers (10:20pm)
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