Week 10 was pretty average for me, as I finished 9-5 straight up and 6-7-1 ATS. My overall win % barely moved as a result, as I guess that's better than dropping significantly.
Looking back it appears I forgot to make a Pick of the Week, so I'll just skip it even though I think I would have picked Green Bay. I'll remain at 7-2 for POTW. Washington beat Tampa Bay for my only upset pick straight up (now 12-10), and I was 2-1 in upsets ATS (now 26-18).
Games of note: Buffalo remains a hard team to pick, as they dominated NYJ on the road. Atlanta proved they shouldn't have been heavy road favorites, and TEN proved the same to NE. KC couldn't cover the ridiculous 16.5 point spread against ARI, and the fucking Eagles sucked it up against Dallass.
On to Week 11:
Thursday, November 15, 2018
Thursday, November 8, 2018
2018 NFL Picks Week 10
I had a lengthier recap typed up by it didn't save and I really don't feel like redoing it. I did great in both straight up and ATS for the second consecutive week though, going 10-3 and 9-4 respectively.
Chicago dominated Buffalo as my PotW to get me to 7-2, while I was 3-0 in straight upsets and 3-1 ATS. I'm now 11-10 straight up and 24-17 ATS.
I had PIT/BAL, ATL/WAS, and TEN/DAL wrong for both picks, and my only other blemish was picking TB to cover the 6.5 point spread at CAR.
Chicago dominated Buffalo as my PotW to get me to 7-2, while I was 3-0 in straight upsets and 3-1 ATS. I'm now 11-10 straight up and 24-17 ATS.
I had PIT/BAL, ATL/WAS, and TEN/DAL wrong for both picks, and my only other blemish was picking TB to cover the 6.5 point spread at CAR.
Thursday, November 1, 2018
2018 NFL Picks Week 9
Week 8 was definitely my best week of picks all year, as I finished 12-2 straight up and 9-5 ATS. KC won as my PotW to get me to a respectable 6-2. I also fared well in upsets, going 2-0 straight up and 3-1 ATS. I'm still only 8-10 straight up, but 21-16 ATS.
Cleveland was unable to cover the 8 point spread at Pittsburgh, KC won but couldn't cover 9.5 against Denver, Detroit lost as a home favorite to Seattle, and MIN was unable to win at home against NO in a pick. On to Week 9 where I hope to continue my winning ways, though I'm not feeling too confident in most of these games:
Cleveland was unable to cover the 8 point spread at Pittsburgh, KC won but couldn't cover 9.5 against Denver, Detroit lost as a home favorite to Seattle, and MIN was unable to win at home against NO in a pick. On to Week 9 where I hope to continue my winning ways, though I'm not feeling too confident in most of these games:
Thursday, October 25, 2018
2018 NFL Picks Week 8
I'll keep the recap quick this time, as I had another good week picking straight up (10-4) but another so-so week ATS (6-8). Atlanta won as my PotW (but couldn't cover the spread) to improve me to 5-2. I was 2-2 in straight upsets (now 6-10) and 2-3 ATS (18-15).
I was way off in the DEN/ARI game as it was never close. MIA couldn't pull off the home upset against DET, Philly and Jacksonville still suck, INDY won and covered the 7 point spread, and the Saints upset the Ravens. Week 8, here we come:
Thursday, 8:20pm
Miami Dolphins at Houston Texans (HOU -7.5)
Sunday, 9:30am (London)
Philadelphia Eagles vs Jacksonville Jaguars (PHI -3.5)*
Sunday, 1pm
Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers (CLE +8)
Denver Broncos at *Kansas City Chiefs* (KC -9.5)*
New York Jets at Chicago Bears (CHI -8)*
Washington Redskins at New York Giants (WAS -1)*
Seattle Seahawks at Detroit Lions (DET -3)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Cincinnati Bengals (CIN -3.5)*
Baltimore Ravens at Carolina Panthers (CAR +2.5)*
Sunday, 4pm
Indianapolis Colts at Oakland Raiders (IND -3)
San Francisco 49ers at Arizona Cardinals (ARI +1.5)*
Green Bay Packers at Los Angeles Rams (GB +9)*
Sunday, 8:20pm
New Orleans Saints at Minnesota Vikings (pick)*
Monday, 8:15pm
New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills (NE -14)
Byes: Atlanta Falcons, Dallas Cowboys, Los Angeles Chargers, Tennessee Titans
Picks as of 10/25 7:15pm
*Updated 10/27 11:15pm
Previous Results
Week 1: 10-5-1 [9-6-1]
Week 2: 9-6-1 [8-8]
Week 3: 8-8 [5-11]
Week 4: 9-6 [3-9-3]
Week 5: 8-8 [8-8]
Week 6: 10-5 [7-7-1]
Week 7: 10-4 [6-8]
Season: 64-42-2 (60.4%) [46-57-4 (44.7%)]
I was way off in the DEN/ARI game as it was never close. MIA couldn't pull off the home upset against DET, Philly and Jacksonville still suck, INDY won and covered the 7 point spread, and the Saints upset the Ravens. Week 8, here we come:
Thursday, 8:20pm
Miami Dolphins at Houston Texans (HOU -7.5)
Sunday, 9:30am (London)
Philadelphia Eagles vs Jacksonville Jaguars (PHI -3.5)*
Sunday, 1pm
Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers (CLE +8)
Denver Broncos at *Kansas City Chiefs* (KC -9.5)*
New York Jets at Chicago Bears (CHI -8)*
Washington Redskins at New York Giants (WAS -1)*
Seattle Seahawks at Detroit Lions (DET -3)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Cincinnati Bengals (CIN -3.5)*
Baltimore Ravens at Carolina Panthers (CAR +2.5)*
Sunday, 4pm
Indianapolis Colts at Oakland Raiders (IND -3)
San Francisco 49ers at Arizona Cardinals (ARI +1.5)*
Green Bay Packers at Los Angeles Rams (GB +9)*
Sunday, 8:20pm
New Orleans Saints at Minnesota Vikings (pick)*
Monday, 8:15pm
New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills (NE -14)
Byes: Atlanta Falcons, Dallas Cowboys, Los Angeles Chargers, Tennessee Titans
Picks as of 10/25 7:15pm
*Updated 10/27 11:15pm
Previous Results
Week 1: 10-5-1 [9-6-1]
Week 2: 9-6-1 [8-8]
Week 3: 8-8 [5-11]
Week 4: 9-6 [3-9-3]
Week 5: 8-8 [8-8]
Week 6: 10-5 [7-7-1]
Week 7: 10-4 [6-8]
Season: 64-42-2 (60.4%) [46-57-4 (44.7%)]
Thursday, October 18, 2018
2018 NFL Picks Week 7
I had my best week since week 1 picking straight up (10-5) but still can't figure out picking ATS just yet (7-7-1). I now see why most "experts" don't pick every game each week; it's just too hard to predict. That being said, I've done fairly well if you take out Weeks 3 and 4.
Houston outlasted Buffalo as my Pick of the Week (now 4-2) but couldn't cover the 10 point spread. For upsets I was 1-1 straight up and 3-1 ATS; I'm now 4-8 and 16-12 respectively.
The LA Chargers won in an upset pick at Cleveland, Minnesota beat Arizona but the game was a push ATS, JAX got destroyed at DAL, the Titans are terrible, and KC lost at NE but covered the 3.5 point spread. On to Week 7:
Houston outlasted Buffalo as my Pick of the Week (now 4-2) but couldn't cover the 10 point spread. For upsets I was 1-1 straight up and 3-1 ATS; I'm now 4-8 and 16-12 respectively.
The LA Chargers won in an upset pick at Cleveland, Minnesota beat Arizona but the game was a push ATS, JAX got destroyed at DAL, the Titans are terrible, and KC lost at NE but covered the 3.5 point spread. On to Week 7:
Thursday, October 11, 2018
2018 NFL Picks Week 6
Week 6 was another mixed bag of picks, as I finished 8-8 straight up and ATS. Even a third into the season I feel some teams still don't know who they are. Baltimore, Buffalo, Atlanta, Pittsburgh, Green Bay, Philly, Houston, etc. all have been up and down and hard to predict. At this point anything close to 50% is decent.
New England won easily as my PotW to improve my record to 3-2. I lost by upsets straight up (now 3-7), but was 3-2 ATS (now13-11).
Cleveland won again in a touchdown-less game against Baltimore, KC smoked JAX, LAR remained undefeated but SEA covered the 7.5 point spread, HOU won the battle of Texas, and the Eagles suck.
Moving on to Week 6:
New England won easily as my PotW to improve my record to 3-2. I lost by upsets straight up (now 3-7), but was 3-2 ATS (now13-11).
Cleveland won again in a touchdown-less game against Baltimore, KC smoked JAX, LAR remained undefeated but SEA covered the 7.5 point spread, HOU won the battle of Texas, and the Eagles suck.
Moving on to Week 6:
Thursday, October 4, 2018
2018 NFL Picks Week 5
Looks like I have some learning to do when it comes to picking against the spread, as I finished Week 4 at a miserable 3-9-2. That puts me at 8-20-2 over the last 2 weeks, as I have done worse each week this season. I'm still ok picking straight up, going 9-6 last week.
The Chargers won over the 49ers as my PotW, improving me to only 2-2 this year. For upsets I was the same as last week (aka terrible), going 0-2 straight up and 1-4 ATS; I'm now 3-5 and 10-9 respectively. There were a lot of OT and close games, so I blame that for my poor picks.
Indy literally gave the game away against Houston, but had it stayed tied it wouldn't have helped me much. I simply cannot pick ATL correctly this season, as they lost at home to CIN. GB won, but actually covered the 9.5 point spread. Cleveland could not win 2 in a row, and couldn't cover the 2.5 point spread either. PIT put up a dud at home to give me losses for both picks.
The Chargers won over the 49ers as my PotW, improving me to only 2-2 this year. For upsets I was the same as last week (aka terrible), going 0-2 straight up and 1-4 ATS; I'm now 3-5 and 10-9 respectively. There were a lot of OT and close games, so I blame that for my poor picks.
Indy literally gave the game away against Houston, but had it stayed tied it wouldn't have helped me much. I simply cannot pick ATL correctly this season, as they lost at home to CIN. GB won, but actually covered the 9.5 point spread. Cleveland could not win 2 in a row, and couldn't cover the 2.5 point spread either. PIT put up a dud at home to give me losses for both picks.
Thursday, September 27, 2018
2018 NFL Picks Week 4
Well that was a forgettable week of picks! I finished 8-8 straight up and an awful 5-11 ATS, thankfully I haven't put any money on these games yet. Still early in the season with plenty of surprises. Has New England reached the end of their reign? Will the Rams ever lose? Miami can't sustain right? Dallas sucks, that much I know.
Minnesota completely shit the bed at home against Buffalo to drop me to 1-2 for Picks of the Week. I was 0-2 picking upsets straight up (Dallas at Seattle and Tampa vs Pittsburgh) to drop me to 3-3 on the season. ATS I was even worse at 1-4, dropping me to 9-5 so far.
There were 6 upsets last week, and of course none were the 2 I picked. Cleveland was able to win their first game in almost 2 years, and they were actually the favorite shockingly. JAX were heavy home favorites, but couldn't win the game let alone cover the 9.5 point spread. HOU were 6 point home favorites, but couldn't win their first game of the season. On to Week 4 and the start of the bye weeks:
Minnesota completely shit the bed at home against Buffalo to drop me to 1-2 for Picks of the Week. I was 0-2 picking upsets straight up (Dallas at Seattle and Tampa vs Pittsburgh) to drop me to 3-3 on the season. ATS I was even worse at 1-4, dropping me to 9-5 so far.
There were 6 upsets last week, and of course none were the 2 I picked. Cleveland was able to win their first game in almost 2 years, and they were actually the favorite shockingly. JAX were heavy home favorites, but couldn't win the game let alone cover the 9.5 point spread. HOU were 6 point home favorites, but couldn't win their first game of the season. On to Week 4 and the start of the bye weeks:
Thursday, September 20, 2018
2018 NFL Picks Week 3
Holy shit, Cleveland won!
I've started off Week 3 on the right foot, but what about Week 2? It ended up pretty close to Week 1, as I went 9-6-1 straight up and 8-8 against the spread. That was just a bit lower than my Week 1 results. The LA Rams managed to win easily over Arizona for my PotW (now 1-1), and covered the 13 point spread in the process. I was nearly flawless in upsets, going 1 for 1 straight up (KC over PIT), and 4-1 ATS (only loss was CAR +6 at ATL); I'm 3-1 and 8-3 respectively.
Of course there was another tie (MIN at GB), so of course Green Bay couldn't cover the -1 point spread (keep in mind I don't count ties when calculating overall %). New Orleans pulled out the victory against Cleveland, but weren't able to cover the -9.5 point spread. I debated for a while picking Jacksonville at home against New England, but by the end of the day I took a loss in both formats as Jacksonville just outplayed New England.
Enough talk, let's get on to the Week 3 picks:
I've started off Week 3 on the right foot, but what about Week 2? It ended up pretty close to Week 1, as I went 9-6-1 straight up and 8-8 against the spread. That was just a bit lower than my Week 1 results. The LA Rams managed to win easily over Arizona for my PotW (now 1-1), and covered the 13 point spread in the process. I was nearly flawless in upsets, going 1 for 1 straight up (KC over PIT), and 4-1 ATS (only loss was CAR +6 at ATL); I'm 3-1 and 8-3 respectively.
Of course there was another tie (MIN at GB), so of course Green Bay couldn't cover the -1 point spread (keep in mind I don't count ties when calculating overall %). New Orleans pulled out the victory against Cleveland, but weren't able to cover the -9.5 point spread. I debated for a while picking Jacksonville at home against New England, but by the end of the day I took a loss in both formats as Jacksonville just outplayed New England.
Enough talk, let's get on to the Week 3 picks:
Saturday, September 15, 2018
2018 NFL Picks Week 2
Week 1 is in the books, and I did pretty well considering the first week of any NFL season can be a clusterfuck for lack of a better word. No game epitomizes this more than the Steelers and Browns game resulting in a tie. That's so Cleveland. I finished 10-5-1 straight up, and 9-6-1 against the spread. Not too bad for my first time.
I won't be recapping losses this year, because I don't have the time or care to do so. I will highlight some games as I see fit, as well as go over the upset picks. In that department I actually fared better against the spread, correctly picking 4 of 6 games. I was 2 of 3 straight up. New Orleans decided not to play defense against Tampa Bay, thus I start the season 0-1 in Picks of the Week.
Houston came close to beating the spread against New England, but fell a half point short. Denver beat Seattle, but the 3 point win resulted in a push with the spread. Green Bay came back to beat Chicago, but Chicago covered the 7 point spread in the 4 point loss.
On to the picks for Week 2, in which I am already down 0-1:
I won't be recapping losses this year, because I don't have the time or care to do so. I will highlight some games as I see fit, as well as go over the upset picks. In that department I actually fared better against the spread, correctly picking 4 of 6 games. I was 2 of 3 straight up. New Orleans decided not to play defense against Tampa Bay, thus I start the season 0-1 in Picks of the Week.
Houston came close to beating the spread against New England, but fell a half point short. Denver beat Seattle, but the 3 point win resulted in a push with the spread. Green Bay came back to beat Chicago, but Chicago covered the 7 point spread in the 4 point loss.
On to the picks for Week 2, in which I am already down 0-1:
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