Thursday, October 4, 2018

2018 NFL Picks Week 5

Looks like I have some learning to do when it comes to picking against the spread, as I finished Week 4 at a miserable 3-9-2. That puts me at 8-20-2 over the last 2 weeks, as I have done worse each week this season. I'm still ok picking straight up, going 9-6 last week.

The Chargers won over the 49ers as my PotW, improving me to only 2-2 this year. For upsets I was the same as last week (aka terrible), going 0-2 straight up and 1-4 ATS; I'm now 3-5 and 10-9 respectively. There were a lot of OT and close games, so I blame that for my poor picks.

Indy literally gave the game away against Houston, but had it stayed tied it wouldn't have helped me much. I simply cannot pick ATL correctly this season, as they lost at home to CIN. GB won, but actually covered the 9.5 point spread. Cleveland could not win 2 in a row, and couldn't cover the 2.5 point spread either. PIT put up a dud at home to give me losses for both picks.

Thursday, 8:20pm
Indianapolis Colts at *New England Patriots* (NE -10.5)
Sunday, 1pm
Baltimore Ravens at Cleveland Browns (BAL -3)
Jacksonville Jaguars at Kansas City Chiefs (KC -3)
Tennessee Titans at Buffalo Bills (BUF +5.5)*
New York Giants at Carolina Panthers (CAR -6.5)
Denver Broncos at New York Jets (DEN -1)*
Atlanta Falcons at Pittsburgh Steelers (ATL +3)
Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions (GB +1)*
Miami Dolphins at Cincinnati Bengals (CIN -6)*
Sunday, 4pm
Oakland Raiders at Los Angeles Chargers (LAC -5)
Arizona Cardinals at San Francisco 49ers (SF -3.5)
Minnesota Vikings at Philadelphia Eagles (PHI -3)
Los Angeles Rams at Seattle Seahawks (SEA +7.5)*
Sunday, 8:20pm
Dallas Cowboys at Houston Texans (DAL +3.5)
Monday, 8:15pm
Washington Redskins at New Orleans Saints (NO -6)*

Byes: Chicago Bears, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Picks as of 10/4, 6:30pm
*Spreads updated 10/7, 8:30am

Previous Results
Week 1: 10-5-1 [9-6-1]
Week 2: 9-6-1 [8-8]
Week 3: 8-8 [5-11]
Week 4: 9-6 [3-9-3]
Season: 36-25-2 (59%) [25-34-3 (42.4%)]

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