Thursday, September 27, 2018

2018 NFL Picks Week 4

Well that was a forgettable week of picks! I finished 8-8 straight up and an awful 5-11 ATS, thankfully I haven't put any money on these games yet. Still early in the season with plenty of surprises. Has New England reached the end of their reign? Will the Rams ever lose? Miami can't sustain right? Dallas sucks, that much I know.

Minnesota completely shit the bed at home against Buffalo to drop me to 1-2 for Picks of the Week. I was 0-2 picking upsets straight up (Dallas at Seattle and Tampa vs Pittsburgh) to drop me to 3-3 on the season. ATS I was even worse at 1-4, dropping me to 9-5 so far.

There were 6 upsets last week, and of course none were the 2 I picked. Cleveland was able to win their first game in almost 2 years, and they were actually the favorite shockingly. JAX were heavy home favorites, but couldn't win the game let alone cover the 9.5 point spread. HOU were 6 point home favorites, but couldn't win their first game of the season. On to Week 4 and the start of the bye weeks:

Thursday, 8:20pm
Minnesota Vikings at Los Angeles Rams (LAR -7) - already correctly picked, push ATS
Sunday, 1pm
Miami Dolphins at New England Patriots (MIA +6.5)
Houston Texans and Indianapolis Colts (IND -1)
Cincinnati Bengals at Atlanta Falcons (ATL -3.5)
Buffalo Bills at Green Bay Packers (BUF +9.5)
Detroit Lions at Dallas Cowboys (DET +2.5)
New York Jets at Jacksonville Jaguars (NYJ +7.5)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Chicago Bears (CHI -3)
Philadelphia Eagles at Tennessee Titans (PHI -3)
Sunday, 4pm
Seattle Seahawks at Arizona Cardinals (SEA -3.5)
Cleveland Browns at Oakland Raiders (CLE +2.5)
San Francisco 49ers at *Los Angeles Chargers* (LAC -10)
New Orleans Saints at New York Giants (NO -3.5)
Sunday, 8:20pm
Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers (PIT -3)
Monday, 8:15pm
Kansas City Chiefs at Denver Broncos (KC -4)

Byes: Carolina Panthers, Washington Redskins

Picks as of 9/30, 11:30am

Previous Results 
Week 1: 10-5-1 [9-6-1] 
Week 2: 9-6-1 [8-8]

Week 3: 8-8 [5-11]
Season: 27-19-2 (58.7%) [22-25-1 (46.8%)]

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