Sunday, February 3, 2019

Super Bowl LIII Pick

For some reason this Super Bowl just doesn't have the same intrigue as it did last year. Wonder if that has something to do with the lack of a certain bird...

Anyway, Super Bowl LIII will be played between the New England Patriots (again) and the Los Angeles Rams, in Atlanta. Should be a good game, hopefully a back and forth battle that provides a few hours of entertainment. Let's cut the crap, here's the pick:

Super Bowl LIII
New England Patriots over Los Angeles Rams, 28-25 (NE -2.5)

pick as of 2/3, 8:45am

Sunday, January 20, 2019

2018 NFL Picks for Conference Championships

I was perfect picking straight up for the Divisional Round, and a couple points away from going 4-0 ATS. Still, 3-1 isn't too bad, as I am now 5-1-1 in the playoffs. Straight up I am 6-2 with 3 games left to pick. For playoff upsets I am 2-1 straight up and 3-1-1 ATS.

Dallas was unable to cover the 7 point spread against LAR for my only blemish last week.

On to the picks to decide who will play in Super Bowl LIII:

Saturday, January 12, 2019

2018 NFL Picks for Divisional Round

As is usually the case each year, I did OK picking the first round of the playoffs. I was 2-2 straight up, and 2-1-1 ATS as the Seattle/Dallas game was a push. I would have been better off picking all upsets, as all but the Seahawks ended the game victorious. At the end of the day Indianapolis, Dallas, the LA Chargers, and the E-A-G-L-E-S EAGLES move on to the divisional round.

I plan to have a regular season recap soon, but I nearly reached my goal of 2 of 3 straight up while falling short of my 50% goal ATS.

Let's see what's in store for the Divisional Round:

Saturday, January 5, 2019

2018 NFL Picks for Wild Card Weekend

I’ll have my usual recap later,  but for now here are my picks for Wild Card Weekend:

Saturday
Indianapolis Colts at Houston Texans (HOU -1.5) [4:35pm]
Seattle Seahawks at Dallas Cowboys (SEA +2) [8:15pm]
Sunday
Los Angeles Chargers at Baltimore Ravens (LAC +3) [1:05pm]
Philadelphia Eagles at Chicago Bears (PHI + 6.5) [4:40pm]

Picks as of 1/5, 1pm

Previous Results
Week 1: 10-5-1 [9-6-1]
Week 2: 9-6-1 [8-8]
Week 3: 8-8 [5-11]
Week 4: 9-6 [3-9-3]
Week 5: 8-8 [8-8]

Week 6: 10-5 [7-7-1]

Week 7: 10-4 [6-8]

Week 8: 12-2 [9-5]

Week 9: 10-3 [9-4]
Week 10: 9-5 [6-7-1]
Week 11: 8-5 [3-8-2]
Week 12: 13-2 [12-3]
Week 13: 11-5 [8-8]
Week 14: 8-8 [7-9]
Week 15: 10-6 [4-11-1]
Week 16: 10-6 [4-10-2]

Week 17: 13-3 [10-6]
Season: 168-87-2 (65.9%) [118-128-11 (48%)]

Sunday, December 30, 2018

2018 NFL Picks Week 17

Another forgettable week picking ATS, as I finished 4-10-2. I did finish 10-6 straight up for the second consecutive week, at least. I would need to finish 15-1 both straight up and ATS to reach my goal of 66%/50% respectively. Indy barely pulled it out over NYG for my PotW, and I improve to 11-3 this year thanks to 2 missed weeks. Upsets were 0-1 straight up (18-6 overall), and 3-3 ATS (40-31 overall).

4 of my incorrect picks in both formats were upsets, and of course the one game I picked as an upset in both formats was wrong. Too bad for me, on to Week 17 with all the games that matter being played after 4:25pm:

Saturday, December 22, 2018

2018 NFL Picks Week 16

Forgettable Week 15, so I won't dwell on it. I went a respectful 10-6 straight up, but an abysmal 4-11-1 ATS. Upsets I was 1-1/1-3; now 18-5/37-28 on the season. The Rams (thankfully) lost as my PotW to drop me to 10-3 this year.

Recap of my losses? No thanks, on to Week 16:

Thursday, December 13, 2018

2018 NFL Picks Week 15

Week 14 was very disappointing, as I picked very average. I finished 8-8 straight up and 7-9 ATS, which dipped me to a game under .500 ATS. My only 2 straight upset picks were incorrect, as I fall to 17-14 for the season. I faired better picking upsets ATS, going 2-3 to bring my total to 36-25 on the year. I forgot to pick a Pick of the Week again, so I remain at 10-2 (though I likely would have picked the Chargers).

There were 7 games in which I incorrectly picked both straight up and ATS. 5 of those were upsets, and of course the 2 upsets I picked were not among them (PHI, WAS). Buffalo was unable to win as home favorites over the New York Jets, NE was upset again in MIA, the 49ers held off the Broncos at home, Oakland prevailed over Pittsburgh, and the Chicago Bears completely shut down the Los Angeles Rams.

On to Week 15, with 2 Saturday games on the slate:

Thursday, December 6, 2018

2018 NFL Picks Week 14

Week 13 was so-so, as I finished 10-6 straight up and 8-8 ATS. There were 6 upsets out of the 16 games, but at least my 2 picks were correct. I improve to 17-12 straight up in upsets, and 34-22-2 ATS after going 3-2. Seattle easily won as my Pick of the Week, as I reach 10-2 on the year.

Biggest shocker of the week was New Orleans losing at home to Dallas, followed by Green Bay losing to Arizona at home. The Bears couldn't beat the Giants as road favorites, but the Rams could at the Lions despite not covering the 10 point spread. Speaking of 10 point spreads, the Jets were able to cover at the Titans, and Seattle covered against the 49ers.

On to Week 14!

Thursday, November 29, 2018

2018 NFL Picks Week 13

Well week 12 was my best week of picks since Weeks 8/9 where I averaged 11 wins straight up and 9 ATS. I went 13-2 and 12-3 ATS, and I am now picking better than 2 of 3 straight up and slightly over .500 ATS.

I was very good with my upset picks, going 2-0 and 4-1. For the season I am 15-12 straight up and 31-20-2 ATS. Baltimore won easily against Oakland as my pick of the week, bringing my record to 9-2. On to Week 13, with a full slate of 16 games:

Thursday, November 22, 2018

2018 NFL Picks Week 12

Happy Thanksgiving!

Week 11 wasn't too bad straight up (8-5), but was terrible ATS (3-8-2). I got to 100 correct picks straight up for the year, and at this rate I'll be lucky to reach that milestone ATS. My goal remains 70% straight up, and I'll settle for 50% ATS as long as my upset picks are good.

Speaking of upsets, I was 1-2 straight and 1-1-2 ATS, bringing my season totals to 13-12 and 27-19-2. New Orleans won as my PotW and then some, bringing my season record to 8-2 since I forgot to pick one Week 10.

Green Bay neglected to go for it on 4th down and thus lost as one of my upset picks at Seattle, but they did push against the 3 point spread. Detroit prevailed as a home upset over Carolina (+4.5), but TB couldn't come back for the road upset over NYG (but pushed against the 3 point spread). LA lost as heavy home favorites to DEN, and Chicago had no problem winning big as light home favorites. The Rams survived a shootout with the Chiefs, but were unable to cover the 3.5 point spread.

On to Week 12, the last of the bye weeks: