Thursday, November 22, 2018

2018 NFL Picks Week 12

Happy Thanksgiving!

Week 11 wasn't too bad straight up (8-5), but was terrible ATS (3-8-2). I got to 100 correct picks straight up for the year, and at this rate I'll be lucky to reach that milestone ATS. My goal remains 70% straight up, and I'll settle for 50% ATS as long as my upset picks are good.

Speaking of upsets, I was 1-2 straight and 1-1-2 ATS, bringing my season totals to 13-12 and 27-19-2. New Orleans won as my PotW and then some, bringing my season record to 8-2 since I forgot to pick one Week 10.

Green Bay neglected to go for it on 4th down and thus lost as one of my upset picks at Seattle, but they did push against the 3 point spread. Detroit prevailed as a home upset over Carolina (+4.5), but TB couldn't come back for the road upset over NYG (but pushed against the 3 point spread). LA lost as heavy home favorites to DEN, and Chicago had no problem winning big as light home favorites. The Rams survived a shootout with the Chiefs, but were unable to cover the 3.5 point spread.

On to Week 12, the last of the bye weeks:

Thanksgiving Day
Chicago Bears at Detroit Lions (CHI -3) [12:30pm]
Washington Redskins at Dallas Cowboys (DAL -7) [4:30pm]
Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints (ATL +12.5) [8:20pm]
Sunday, 1pm
Jacksonville Jaguars at Buffalo Bills (JAC -3)
Oakland Raiders at *Baltimore Ravens* (BAL -10.5)
San Francisco 49ers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (TB -3)
New York Giants at Philadelphia Eagles (NYG +6)
Cleveland Browns at Cincinnati Bengals (CIN -3)
New England Patriots at New York Jets (NE -10)
Seattle Seahawks at Carolina Panthers (SEA +3.5)
Sunday, 4pm
Arizona Cardinals at Los Angeles Chargers (LAC -13)
Miami Dolphins at Indianapolis Colts (MIA +7.5)
Pittsburgh Steelers at Denver Broncos (DEN +3)
Sunday, 8:20pm
Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings (MIN -3)
Monday, 8:15pm
Tennessee Titans at Houston Texans (HOU -6.5)

Byes: Kansas City Chiefs, Los Angeles Rams

*Pick of the Week* 

Picks as of 11/22, 12pm

Previous Results
Week 1: 10-5-1 [9-6-1]
Week 2: 9-6-1 [8-8]
Week 3: 8-8 [5-11]
Week 4: 9-6 [3-9-3]
Week 5: 8-8 [8-8]

Week 6: 10-5 [7-7-1]

Week 7: 10-4 [6-8]

Week 8: 12-2 [9-5]

Week 9: 10-3 [9-4]
Week 10: 9-5 [6-7-1]
Week 11: 8-5 [3-8-2]
Season: 103-57-2 (64.4%) [73-81-8 (47.4%)]

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