Well week 12 was my best week of picks since Weeks 8/9 where I averaged 11 wins straight up and 9 ATS. I went 13-2 and 12-3 ATS, and I am now picking better than 2 of 3 straight up and slightly over .500 ATS.
I was very good with my upset picks, going 2-0 and 4-1. For the season I am 15-12 straight up and 31-20-2 ATS. Baltimore won easily against Oakland as my pick of the week, bringing my record to 9-2. On to Week 13, with a full slate of 16 games:
Thursday, November 29, 2018
Thursday, November 22, 2018
2018 NFL Picks Week 12
Happy Thanksgiving!
Week 11 wasn't too bad straight up (8-5), but was terrible ATS (3-8-2). I got to 100 correct picks straight up for the year, and at this rate I'll be lucky to reach that milestone ATS. My goal remains 70% straight up, and I'll settle for 50% ATS as long as my upset picks are good.
Speaking of upsets, I was 1-2 straight and 1-1-2 ATS, bringing my season totals to 13-12 and 27-19-2. New Orleans won as my PotW and then some, bringing my season record to 8-2 since I forgot to pick one Week 10.
Green Bay neglected to go for it on 4th down and thus lost as one of my upset picks at Seattle, but they did push against the 3 point spread. Detroit prevailed as a home upset over Carolina (+4.5), but TB couldn't come back for the road upset over NYG (but pushed against the 3 point spread). LA lost as heavy home favorites to DEN, and Chicago had no problem winning big as light home favorites. The Rams survived a shootout with the Chiefs, but were unable to cover the 3.5 point spread.
On to Week 12, the last of the bye weeks:
Week 11 wasn't too bad straight up (8-5), but was terrible ATS (3-8-2). I got to 100 correct picks straight up for the year, and at this rate I'll be lucky to reach that milestone ATS. My goal remains 70% straight up, and I'll settle for 50% ATS as long as my upset picks are good.
Speaking of upsets, I was 1-2 straight and 1-1-2 ATS, bringing my season totals to 13-12 and 27-19-2. New Orleans won as my PotW and then some, bringing my season record to 8-2 since I forgot to pick one Week 10.
Green Bay neglected to go for it on 4th down and thus lost as one of my upset picks at Seattle, but they did push against the 3 point spread. Detroit prevailed as a home upset over Carolina (+4.5), but TB couldn't come back for the road upset over NYG (but pushed against the 3 point spread). LA lost as heavy home favorites to DEN, and Chicago had no problem winning big as light home favorites. The Rams survived a shootout with the Chiefs, but were unable to cover the 3.5 point spread.
On to Week 12, the last of the bye weeks:
Thursday, November 15, 2018
2018 NFL Picks Week 11
Week 10 was pretty average for me, as I finished 9-5 straight up and 6-7-1 ATS. My overall win % barely moved as a result, as I guess that's better than dropping significantly.
Looking back it appears I forgot to make a Pick of the Week, so I'll just skip it even though I think I would have picked Green Bay. I'll remain at 7-2 for POTW. Washington beat Tampa Bay for my only upset pick straight up (now 12-10), and I was 2-1 in upsets ATS (now 26-18).
Games of note: Buffalo remains a hard team to pick, as they dominated NYJ on the road. Atlanta proved they shouldn't have been heavy road favorites, and TEN proved the same to NE. KC couldn't cover the ridiculous 16.5 point spread against ARI, and the fucking Eagles sucked it up against Dallass.
On to Week 11:
Looking back it appears I forgot to make a Pick of the Week, so I'll just skip it even though I think I would have picked Green Bay. I'll remain at 7-2 for POTW. Washington beat Tampa Bay for my only upset pick straight up (now 12-10), and I was 2-1 in upsets ATS (now 26-18).
Games of note: Buffalo remains a hard team to pick, as they dominated NYJ on the road. Atlanta proved they shouldn't have been heavy road favorites, and TEN proved the same to NE. KC couldn't cover the ridiculous 16.5 point spread against ARI, and the fucking Eagles sucked it up against Dallass.
On to Week 11:
Thursday, November 8, 2018
2018 NFL Picks Week 10
I had a lengthier recap typed up by it didn't save and I really don't feel like redoing it. I did great in both straight up and ATS for the second consecutive week though, going 10-3 and 9-4 respectively.
Chicago dominated Buffalo as my PotW to get me to 7-2, while I was 3-0 in straight upsets and 3-1 ATS. I'm now 11-10 straight up and 24-17 ATS.
I had PIT/BAL, ATL/WAS, and TEN/DAL wrong for both picks, and my only other blemish was picking TB to cover the 6.5 point spread at CAR.
Chicago dominated Buffalo as my PotW to get me to 7-2, while I was 3-0 in straight upsets and 3-1 ATS. I'm now 11-10 straight up and 24-17 ATS.
I had PIT/BAL, ATL/WAS, and TEN/DAL wrong for both picks, and my only other blemish was picking TB to cover the 6.5 point spread at CAR.
Thursday, November 1, 2018
2018 NFL Picks Week 9
Week 8 was definitely my best week of picks all year, as I finished 12-2 straight up and 9-5 ATS. KC won as my PotW to get me to a respectable 6-2. I also fared well in upsets, going 2-0 straight up and 3-1 ATS. I'm still only 8-10 straight up, but 21-16 ATS.
Cleveland was unable to cover the 8 point spread at Pittsburgh, KC won but couldn't cover 9.5 against Denver, Detroit lost as a home favorite to Seattle, and MIN was unable to win at home against NO in a pick. On to Week 9 where I hope to continue my winning ways, though I'm not feeling too confident in most of these games:
Cleveland was unable to cover the 8 point spread at Pittsburgh, KC won but couldn't cover 9.5 against Denver, Detroit lost as a home favorite to Seattle, and MIN was unable to win at home against NO in a pick. On to Week 9 where I hope to continue my winning ways, though I'm not feeling too confident in most of these games:
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