Thursday, September 27, 2018

2018 NFL Picks Week 4

Well that was a forgettable week of picks! I finished 8-8 straight up and an awful 5-11 ATS, thankfully I haven't put any money on these games yet. Still early in the season with plenty of surprises. Has New England reached the end of their reign? Will the Rams ever lose? Miami can't sustain right? Dallas sucks, that much I know.

Minnesota completely shit the bed at home against Buffalo to drop me to 1-2 for Picks of the Week. I was 0-2 picking upsets straight up (Dallas at Seattle and Tampa vs Pittsburgh) to drop me to 3-3 on the season. ATS I was even worse at 1-4, dropping me to 9-5 so far.

There were 6 upsets last week, and of course none were the 2 I picked. Cleveland was able to win their first game in almost 2 years, and they were actually the favorite shockingly. JAX were heavy home favorites, but couldn't win the game let alone cover the 9.5 point spread. HOU were 6 point home favorites, but couldn't win their first game of the season. On to Week 4 and the start of the bye weeks:

Thursday, September 20, 2018

2018 NFL Picks Week 3

Holy shit, Cleveland won!

I've started off Week 3 on the right foot, but what about Week 2? It ended up pretty close to Week 1, as I went 9-6-1 straight up and 8-8 against the spread. That was just a bit lower than my Week 1 results. The LA Rams managed to win easily over Arizona for my PotW (now 1-1), and covered the 13 point spread in the process. I was nearly flawless in upsets, going 1 for 1 straight up (KC over PIT), and 4-1 ATS (only loss was CAR +6 at ATL); I'm 3-1 and 8-3 respectively.

Of course there was another tie (MIN at GB), so of course Green Bay couldn't cover the -1 point spread (keep in mind I don't count ties when calculating overall %). New Orleans pulled out the victory against Cleveland, but weren't able to cover the -9.5 point spread. I debated for a while picking Jacksonville at home against New England, but by the end of the day I took a loss in both formats as Jacksonville just outplayed New England.

Enough talk, let's get on to the Week 3 picks:

Saturday, September 15, 2018

2018 NFL Picks Week 2

Week 1 is in the books, and I did pretty well considering the first week of any NFL season can be a clusterfuck for lack of a better word. No game epitomizes this more than the Steelers and Browns game resulting in a tie. That's so Cleveland. I finished 10-5-1 straight up, and 9-6-1 against the spread. Not too bad for my first time.

I won't be recapping losses this year, because I don't have the time or care to do so. I will highlight some games as I see fit, as well as go over the upset picks. In that department I actually fared better against the spread, correctly picking 4 of 6 games. I was 2 of 3 straight up. New Orleans decided not to play defense against Tampa Bay, thus I start the season 0-1 in Picks of the Week.

Houston came close to beating the spread against New England, but fell a half point short. Denver beat Seattle, but the 3 point win resulted in a push with the spread. Green Bay came back to beat Chicago, but Chicago covered the 7 point spread in the 4 point loss.

On to the picks for Week 2, in which I am already down 0-1:

Thursday, September 6, 2018

2018 NFL Picks Week 1

2018 marks the 7th year I've been making NFL picks, but this is the first year I'll be picking straight up and also with the spread. Let's see how that pans out!

I finished the 2017 season with a correct Super Bowl LII Pick (E-A-G-L-E-S EAGLES!), which brought me to a 10-3 playoff record. I correctly picked 68.75% in the regular season, which ended up being my best season by 0.75% over 2014's 68%. I am still trying for that elusive 70%, so hopefully it happens this year.