Thursday, October 25, 2018

2018 NFL Picks Week 8

I'll keep the recap quick this time, as I had another good week picking straight up (10-4) but another so-so week ATS (6-8). Atlanta won as my PotW (but couldn't cover the spread) to improve me to 5-2. I was 2-2 in straight upsets (now 6-10) and 2-3 ATS (18-15).

I was way off in the DEN/ARI game as it was never close. MIA couldn't pull off the home upset against DET, Philly and Jacksonville still suck, INDY won and covered the 7 point spread, and the Saints upset the Ravens. Week 8, here we come:

Thursday, 8:20pm
Miami Dolphins at Houston Texans (HOU -7.5)
Sunday, 9:30am (London)
Philadelphia Eagles vs Jacksonville Jaguars (PHI -3.5)*
Sunday, 1pm
Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers (CLE +8)
Denver Broncos at *Kansas City Chiefs* (KC -9.5)*
New York Jets at Chicago Bears (CHI -8)*
Washington Redskins at New York Giants (WAS -1)*
Seattle Seahawks at Detroit Lions (DET -3)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Cincinnati Bengals (CIN -3.5)*
Baltimore Ravens at Carolina Panthers (CAR +2.5)*
Sunday, 4pm
Indianapolis Colts at Oakland Raiders (IND -3)
San Francisco 49ers at Arizona Cardinals (ARI +1.5)*
Green Bay Packers at Los Angeles Rams (GB +9)*
Sunday, 8:20pm
New Orleans Saints at Minnesota Vikings (pick)*
Monday, 8:15pm
New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills (NE -14)

Byes: Atlanta Falcons, Dallas Cowboys, Los Angeles Chargers, Tennessee Titans

Picks as of 10/25 7:15pm
*Updated 10/27 11:15pm

Previous Results
Week 1: 10-5-1 [9-6-1]
Week 2: 9-6-1 [8-8]
Week 3: 8-8 [5-11]
Week 4: 9-6 [3-9-3]
Week 5: 8-8 [8-8]

Week 6: 10-5 [7-7-1]

Week 7: 10-4 [6-8]
Season: 64-42-2 (60.4%) [46-57-4 (44.7%)]

Thursday, October 18, 2018

2018 NFL Picks Week 7

I had my best week since week 1 picking straight up (10-5) but still can't figure out picking ATS just yet (7-7-1). I now see why most "experts" don't pick every game each week; it's just too hard to predict. That being said, I've done fairly well if you take out Weeks 3 and 4.

Houston outlasted Buffalo as my Pick of the Week (now 4-2) but couldn't cover the 10 point spread. For upsets I was 1-1 straight up and 3-1 ATS; I'm now 4-8 and 16-12 respectively.

The LA Chargers won in an upset pick at Cleveland, Minnesota beat Arizona but the game was a push ATS, JAX got destroyed at DAL, the Titans are terrible, and KC lost at NE but covered the 3.5 point spread. On to Week 7:

Thursday, October 11, 2018

2018 NFL Picks Week 6

Week 6 was another mixed bag of picks, as I finished 8-8 straight up and ATS. Even a third into the season I feel some teams still don't know who they are. Baltimore, Buffalo, Atlanta, Pittsburgh, Green Bay, Philly, Houston, etc. all have been up and down and hard to predict. At this point anything close to 50% is decent.

New England won easily as my PotW to improve my record to 3-2. I lost by upsets straight up (now 3-7), but was 3-2 ATS (now13-11).

Cleveland won again in a touchdown-less game against Baltimore, KC smoked JAX, LAR remained undefeated but SEA covered the 7.5 point spread, HOU won the battle of Texas, and the Eagles suck.

Moving on to Week 6:

Thursday, October 4, 2018

2018 NFL Picks Week 5

Looks like I have some learning to do when it comes to picking against the spread, as I finished Week 4 at a miserable 3-9-2. That puts me at 8-20-2 over the last 2 weeks, as I have done worse each week this season. I'm still ok picking straight up, going 9-6 last week.

The Chargers won over the 49ers as my PotW, improving me to only 2-2 this year. For upsets I was the same as last week (aka terrible), going 0-2 straight up and 1-4 ATS; I'm now 3-5 and 10-9 respectively. There were a lot of OT and close games, so I blame that for my poor picks.

Indy literally gave the game away against Houston, but had it stayed tied it wouldn't have helped me much. I simply cannot pick ATL correctly this season, as they lost at home to CIN. GB won, but actually covered the 9.5 point spread. Cleveland could not win 2 in a row, and couldn't cover the 2.5 point spread either. PIT put up a dud at home to give me losses for both picks.