Saturday, January 14, 2017

2016 NFL Picks for Divisional Round

Whoo! 4-0 for Wild Card Weekend! Can't let that go to my head though, as all 4 games ended up being blowouts. This week's games look to be much more competitive, with the exception of the Houston/New England game. Let's get on to the picks:

Friday, January 6, 2017

2016 NFL Picks for Wild Card Weekend

I finished the final week of the 2016 season at 11-5, though it felt worse than that. All 5 losses were essentially toss-ups for me, but oh well. I'll end the year at 161-93-2, good for 63.4% overall. It wasn't my best season making picks, but it definitely wasn't the worst. Thankfully I finished great down the stretch, going 98-38 (72%) the last 9 weeks. That was much better than the first 8 weeks which saw me pick at 63-55-2 (53%).

I was 0-2 in upset picks (Houston at Tennessee and Oakland at Denver), which will drop me to 20-26 for the season. At least my Pick of the Week (Atlanta over New Orleans) was correct, improving my record to 14-3 and finishing the year picking 9 in a row. I hope to do a "year in review" post soon, which hopefully will have my record by team.

Aside from the 2 incorrect upset picks, I also incorrectly picked Buffalo to beat the New York Jets, Baltimore to best Cincinnati, and Washington to defeat the New York Giants for a playoff berth. Playoff time!

Sunday, January 1, 2017

2016 NFL Picks Week 17

Hard to believe, but 11-5 is tied for my worst week since Week 10. While it means I won't hit my goal of 66%, it does improve my overall percentage to 63%. I'll likely end the regular season there, but I can improve to 64.5% with 16 wins or fall to 59% with 16 losses. New England destroyed the New York Jets for my Pick of the Week, and I'm 13-3 with one week left in the regular season. I've correctly picked 8 in a row now, and looking to make that 9. I was 2-1 in upset picks (Philly over NYG, Miami over Buffalo), which brings me to 20-24. I don't think I'll make 4 correct picks this week, so I will probably end the regular season with a losing record picking upsets... meaning I would have fared better statistically not picking any at all!

My incorrect picks were Tennessee at Jacksonville, San Diego at Cleveland (I mean who the hell would ever pick the Browns?), Tampa Bay at New Orleans (upset pick), San Francisco at Los Angeles, and Seattle at home against Arizona.

On to Week 17, and Happy New Year!

Friday, December 23, 2016

2016 NFL Picks Week 16

Week 15 is in the books, and so is another great week for me. I went 12-4 in improve my overall percentage by a point to 62.6%. My PotW, Atlanta, was able to easily beat San Francisco. 12-3 on the year for PotW. I had no upset picks last week, which means my record remains at 18-23. This week is a little odd with Christmas, so instead of the usual slate of games on Sunday, they will now be played on Saturday.

Losses: Minnesota getting destroyed at home by Indianapolis, Kansas City losing a late lead to Tennessee, Arizona losing a shootout to New Orleans, and Carolina upsetting Washington on the road. All losses for the home teams, and upsets for the away teams.

On to Week 16:

Thursday, December 15, 2016

2016 NFL Picks Week 15

Another successful week! That makes 7 in a row, which is half the season at this point. I was 11-5 last week, which bumps me up slightly from 61% to 61.65% overall. To achieve my goal of 66% (2 correct picks out of every 3), I need to reach 169 wins on the year. To do that, I need to make 42 correct picks over the last 3 weeks, which is an average of 14 per week. AKA, probably not going to happen, but I'll still try of course. Detroit barely beat Chicago for my PotW, but I improve to 11-3 this year. For some reason I had 4 road upsets last week, but I was right on half of them (Houston over Indianapolis, New York Jets over San Francisco); my record stands at 18-23. I'd like to get to .500 for upsets this year.

The upsets that didn't pan out were Denver over Tennessee and San Diego over Carolina. I should have picked the home team in those games, as well as for my 3 other losses: Arizona at Miami, Seattle at Green Bay, and Dallas at the New York Giants.

On to Week 15, where we'll have football games played on 4 of the next 5 days:

Thursday, December 8, 2016

2016 NFL Picks Week 14

Week 13 saw the end of bye weeks, and left me with a 13-2 record. That's good for my best week yet, and propels me to 61% overall this year. I've been picking pretty well since Week 8, so I hope the hot streak continues. New England prevailed over Los Angeles as my PotW; I am now 10-3. I correctly picked 2 of 3 upset picks, which bumps me up to 16-21 so far this season. Kansas City and Tampa Bay were able to pull off road wins at Atlanta and San Diego, respectively. Of course, the Eagles were unable to pull off the same at Cincinnati.

My only other loss aside from Philadelphia was New Orleans failing to beat Detroit at home.

Bring on a full Week 14!

Thursday, December 1, 2016

2016 NFL Picks Week 13

Note that my original post had me picking the 49ers (which was not my actual pick) and for some reason omitted the Buffalo/Oakland game entirely. I picked Oakland.

With a full slate of 16 games last week, I fared quite well for the 5th week in a row. I went 12-4, which brought me all the way up to 59% on the year, a 2% increase. The New York Giants successfully beat the Cleveland Browns for my Pick of the Week, as I improved to 9-3. Houston lost to San Diego at home for my only upset pick, which drops me to 14-20 so far this season.

Aside from Houston, I also incorrectly picked Seattle to beat Tampa Bay on the road, Denver to beat Kansas City at home, and fucking Philadelphia to win a home game against Green Bay.

On to Week 13, which is the last of the bye weeks:

Thursday, November 24, 2016

2016 NFL Picks Week 12

Happy Thanksgiving! Hope you all enjoy the 3 Fs: Food, Family, and Football. Also Drinks. Obviously I'll focus on football in this post.

Yet another good week! I finished 10-4, which is my first double digit win total since way back in Week 2. I'm now at 57% overall, which is getting back on the right track. New England won over San Francisco as my POTW, which puts me at 8-3 this year. I was unsuccessful in both my upset picks, which drops me to 14-19 on the season.

Losses: Tennessee at Indianapolis (upset pick), Kansas City at home against Tampa Bay, Arizona at Minnesota (upset, and I flipped flopped), and Cincinnati vs Buffalo (I was this close to picking Buffalo).

There's a full slate of games this week (bye weeks end next week), including 3 on Thanksgiving

Thursday, November 17, 2016

2016 NFL Picks Week 11

I now have 3 winning weeks in a row, after picking 9 of 14 during Week 10. My recent hot streak has seen my overall percentage rise to 56%.  Though they barely won, my POTW was correct (Arizona over San Francisco) which brings me up to 7-3 on the year. I went out on a limb and chose a crazy 5 upset picks... even crazier is that they were all right! With the 5 correct picks last week (Houston, Denver, Tennessee, Tampa Bay, Dallas) I improve to 14-17 this season. Much better than my record the week prior.

Losses: Carolina vs Kansas City, New York Jets vs Los Angeles, Atlanta at Philadelphia, San Diego vs Miami, and New England vs Seattle. I would have needed to pick an absurd 10 upsets last week to be perfect!

Fingers crossed this week to hit double digit wins again:

Thursday, November 10, 2016

2016 NFL Picks Week 10

After posting my best mark Week 8, I decided to do even better Week 9. I ended up at 9-4, which raised my overall percentage by 2 points to 55%. My PotW was also correct (Dallas over Cleveland), which improves my record there to 6-3. I whiffed on my upset picks again (really Philly? and Denver), dropping me to a miserable 9-17. That's not 9 FOR 17 by the way, it's 9 AND 17. Ouch.

My only losses were the 2 upset picks I mentioned (Philadelphia at New York Giants and Denver at Oakland), as well as Minnesota losing at home to Detroit, and Green Bay doing the same against Indianapolis. Hoping to make Week 10 my third winning week in a row...