Sunday, February 7, 2016

Super Bowl L Pick

Yes, I'm still calling it Super Bowl L and ignoring the fact they're now calling it Super Bowl 50. So, Super Bowl Large it is! Like the last 2 games, this one comes down to the #1 seeds with the Carolina Panthers representing the NFC and the Denver Broncos representing the AFC. The game will be played in San Francisco this year.

After last week's Conference Championships, I solidified my best playoff record thus far. I did so by correctly picking Denver to upset New England, and Carolina to take care of Arizona. That makes me 9-1 overall, and 2-1 in playoff upset picks. Denver is a 5.5 point underdog on game day, and I'd bet on them with that spread. But will I pick them straight up?

Sunday, January 24, 2016

2015 NFL Picks for Conference Championships

I was close to staying perfect for the playoffs, but got fancy and picked Kansas City to upset New England. Still, I went 3-1 during the Divisional Round, improving my playoff record to 7-1 (1-1 upsets). I'm on pace for my best playoff record thus far, which would best last year's 8-3. On to the Conference Championship picks!

Saturday, January 16, 2016

2015 NFL Picks for Divisional Round

Sorry this is late, but I was in Mexico and then moving. Sue me! A more in depth post should be coming soon, but I was 4-0 last week for the first time ever.

I picked all the away teams for Wild Card Weekend, of which only one (Green Bay) was an upset. It paid off though, as all 4 picks resulted in wins. Let's see if I can keep this going:

Kansas City Chiefs at New England Patriots
Green Bay Packers at Arizona Cardinals
Seattle Seahawks at Carolina Panthers
Pittsburgh Steelers at Denver Broncos

Upset pick as of 1/16 4:25pm

Previous Results
Week 1: 10-6
Week 2: 7-9
Week 3: 12-4
Week 4: 11-4
Week 5: 9-5
Week 6: 11-3
Week 7: 8-6
Week 8: 9-5
Week 9: 9-4
Week 10: 7-7
Week 11: 9-5
Week 12: 10-6
Week 13: 10-6
Week 14: 10-6
Week 15: 11-5
Week 16: 10-6
Week 17: 8-8
Season: 161-95 (62.9%)

Wild Card: 4-0
Playoffs: 4-0 (100%)

Friday, January 8, 2016

2015 NFL Picks for Wild Card Weekend

The 2015 NFL regular season has come to a close, but that doesn't stop me from continuing my picks throughout the playoffs. As for the regular season, I finished at 62.9% overall by correctly picking 161 of 256 games. Week 17 was one of my worst, as I finished 8-8 (7 of the losses were upsets). I did manage to pick 1 of 2 upsets correctly (Washington at Dallas) to finish the season at 20-17 (best record in that regard). Denver came through as my PotW, and I'll end with a record of 12-5.

Lots of losses this week, with most of them being upsets: NYJ losing at Buffalo, New England losing at Miami, Atlanta losing at home to New Orleans, NYG losing at home to Philadelphia, St. Louis losing at San Francisco, Arizona losing at home to Seattle, and Green Bay losing the division title at home against Minnesota. The only exception was Chicago not upsetting Detroit at home.

Sunday, January 3, 2016

2015 NFL Picks Week 17

After the completion of today's games, the 2015 NFL season will have reached its conclusion. But how did I do last week? After going 11-5 two weeks ago to break my streak of 10-6 weeks, I went right back to going 10-6. That basically leaves me around 63% for the year. I lost yet another PotW, as Pittsburgh was unable to beat lowly Baltimore (shame on me for going against my rule of never picking a road team). That puts me at 11-5 on the season, which is terrible in my book. I was 2 for 3 in upset picks (correct on Washington and Indianapolis, wrong on Jacksonville), which puts me at 19-16 for the year. Another win this week would see me breaking 20 for the first time.

Losses: Tampa Bay, Carolina, New England, Pittsburgh, Jacksonville, Seattle

Thursday, December 24, 2015

2015 NFL Picks Week 16

Welcome to the "Holiday Edition" of this year's NFL Picks, aka Week 16's picks. I broke by 10-6 streak by going 11-5 last week, improving my overall percentage slightly to 63.8%. My Pick of the Week, Seattle, came out on top to improve my record to 11-4 on the year. Again I was only 1 for 3 in upset picks, but remain on the positive side at 17-15.

I lost the Thu9atrsday Night game, as Tampa Bay was unable to pull off the upset at St. Louis. Jacksonville (at home) could not beat Atlanta, Buffalo could not beat Washington on the road (wishful thinking), Miami was denied a road upset at San Diego, and New Orleans could not come back at home against Detroit on Monday Night. On to Week 16!

Thursday, December 17, 2015

2015 NFL Picks Week 15

What do you know? 10-6 again! Which means I stayed virtually the same % overall, around 63.5% for the year. My PotW was correct (Kansas City over San Diego) to improve to 10-4. I was only 1 for 3 in upset picks (good on Pittsburgh, bad on San Francisco and Miami), which has me at 16-13 this season.

As I mentioned above, I lost in upset picks as San Francisco could not beat Cleveland, and the Monday Night game as home underdog Miami couldn't overcome the New York Giants. Other losses included Chicago losing at home to Washington, Detroit losing on the road at St. Louis, Tampa Bay dropping a home game to New Orleans, and Denver giving up an upset win to Oakland. Hopefully I can snap my 10-6 streak this week:

Thursday, December 10, 2015

2015 NFL Picks Week 14

Finished 10-6 for the second week in a row and although I'm not improving, at least I'm consistent. Overall percentage dipped every so slightly by 0.1% to 63.5% on the year. I barely lost both my upset picks, but I'm still doing well at 15-11. And I can't be too upset about losing my PotW, as Philadelphia actually pulled it out on the road against New England. Now 9-4 for my Pick of the Week.

As for my losses, Chicago was unable to beat San Francisco at home, Seattle destroyed Minnesota on the road (no favorite), Atlanta blew an upset at Tampa Bay, the New York Giants let the New York Jets comeback on their home turf (though not really), Philadelphia pulled a huge upset at New England, and Dallas went into Washington and came out with a win. Lots of home losses, let's hope Week 14 proves better:

Thursday, December 3, 2015

2015 NFL Picks Week 13

I didn't really benefit from a full week of 16 games, but I didn't get hurt either. I finished 10-6, which maintained my overall percentage around 63%. I did continue my recent string of correct upset picks, with another 2 wins to 1 loss. That's good for 15-9 on the year, which is probably the best I've done over the last few seasons (with 5 weeks left to go!). My PotW was right as well, and I improve to 9-3 on the season.

I incorrectly picked Green Bay to beat Chicago at home, Tampa Bay upsetting Indianapolis on the road, the New York Giants to beat Washington, Jacksonville to win at home against San Diego, New England to remain unbeaten at Denver, and Cleveland to beat Baltimore on Monday night. On to week 14!

Thursday, November 26, 2015

2015 NFL Picks Week 12

Happy Thanksgiving football fans! The NFL is serving up a full plate of 3 games today, so there will be plenty of football to watch.

As for Week 11, I ended up at 9-5, as I just can't seem to reach double digits lately. The bye weeks are over though, so hopefully I can change that this week. Overall, my percentage stayed virtually the same, though I excelled in my upset picks (3-1) to improve to 13-8 on the year. I was back on the right track with my Pick of the Week (Seattle) to reach 8-3 on the year.

Miami lost to Dallas (no favorite), Philadelphia got crushed by underdog Tampa Bay (seriously, WTF is wrong with this team), Indianapolis upset Atlanta, Oakland failed to beat Detroit, and San Diego was nowhere near pulling up the upset against Kansas City. Week 12 picks after the jump!