Thursday, December 8, 2016

2016 NFL Picks Week 14

Week 13 saw the end of bye weeks, and left me with a 13-2 record. That's good for my best week yet, and propels me to 61% overall this year. I've been picking pretty well since Week 8, so I hope the hot streak continues.

Thursday, December 1, 2016

2016 NFL Picks Week 13

Note that my original post had me picking the 49ers (which was not my actual pick) and for some reason omitted the Buffalo/Oakland game entirely. I picked Oakland.

With a full slate of 16 games last week, I fared quite well for the 5th week in a row. I went 12-4, which brought me all the way up to 59% on the year, a 2% increase. The New York Giants successfully beat the Cleveland Browns for my Pick of the Week, as I improved to 9-3. Houston lost to San Diego at home for my only upset pick, which drops me to 14-20 so far this season.

Aside from Houston, I also incorrectly picked Seattle to beat Tampa Bay on the road, Denver to beat Kansas City at home, and fucking Philadelphia to win a home game against Green Bay.

On to Week 13, which is the last of the bye weeks:

Thursday, November 24, 2016

2016 NFL Picks Week 12

Happy Thanksgiving! Hope you all enjoy the 3 Fs: Food, Family, and Football. Also Drinks. Obviously I'll focus on football in this post.

Yet another good week! I finished 10-4, which is my first double digit win total since way back in Week 2. I'm now at 57% overall, which is getting back on the right track. New England won over San Francisco as my POTW, which puts me at 8-3 this year. I was unsuccessful in both my upset picks, which drops me to 14-19 on the season.

Losses: Tennessee at Indianapolis (upset pick), Kansas City at home against Tampa Bay, Arizona at Minnesota (upset, and I flipped flopped), and Cincinnati vs Buffalo (I was this close to picking Buffalo).

There's a full slate of games this week (bye weeks end next week), including 3 on Thanksgiving

Thursday, November 17, 2016

2016 NFL Picks Week 11

I now have 3 winning weeks in a row, after picking 9 of 14 during Week 10. My recent hot streak has seen my overall percentage rise to 56%.  Though they barely won, my POTW was correct (Arizona over San Francisco) which brings me up to 7-3 on the year. I went out on a limb and chose a crazy 5 upset picks... even crazier is that they were all right! With the 5 correct picks last week (Houston, Denver, Tennessee, Tampa Bay, Dallas) I improve to 14-17 this season. Much better than my record the week prior.

Losses: Carolina vs Kansas City, New York Jets vs Los Angeles, Atlanta at Philadelphia, San Diego vs Miami, and New England vs Seattle. I would have needed to pick an absurd 10 upsets last week to be perfect!

Fingers crossed this week to hit double digit wins again:

Thursday, November 10, 2016

2016 NFL Picks Week 10

After posting my best mark Week 8, I decided to do even better Week 9. I ended up at 9-4, which raised my overall percentage by 2 points to 55%. My PotW was also correct (Dallas over Cleveland), which improves my record there to 6-3. I whiffed on my upset picks again (really Philly? and Denver), dropping me to a miserable 9-17. That's not 9 FOR 17 by the way, it's 9 AND 17. Ouch.

My only losses were the 2 upset picks I mentioned (Philadelphia at New York Giants and Denver at Oakland), as well as Minnesota losing at home to Detroit, and Green Bay doing the same against Indianapolis. Hoping to make Week 10 my third winning week in a row...

Thursday, November 3, 2016

2016 NFL Picks Week 9

Another week, another tie! Of the remaining 12 games I finished with my best week at 8-4, to raise my overall percentage by 1 to 53%. Of course my Pick of the Week (Minnesota) lost, so I wouldn't take my recommendations on that. Once again I went against my "rule" of never picking an away team or a division game. Oops. Now 5-3 for the season. To make things worse I was incorrect in both my upset picks, which drops me to 9-15 (probably my worst mark to date).

Aside from the aforementioned tie between Cincinnati and Washington in London, my losses included Detroit at Houston (upset pick), Seattle at New Orleans, Arizona at Carolina (upset pick), and Minnesota at Chicago. Looks like I should have went with the home teams!

On to Week 9, another shortened schedule due to 6 byes:

Thursday, October 27, 2016

2016 NFL Picks Week 8

I just cannot gain any traction this year! I finished Week 7 with 7 wins, 7 losses, and 1 tie. I don't count ties as wins or losses, so think of it as a lost game. That being said, I stay around 52% on the year. My PotW, Atlanta, lost at home (in OT) to San Diego; I'm now 5-2. I didn't fare any better with my upset picks, as I was 1 for 4 (Oakland over Jacksonville) to drop me to 9-13 for the season. Oof.

Minnesota, much to my approval, lost to Philadelphia. Washington was unable to upset Detroit. Buffalo, despite being road favorites, lost to Miami. Tennessee couldn't get a home win against Indianapolis. Baltimore couldn't pull of an upset at the New York Jets. As mentioned earlier Atlanta could not get the home win vs San Diego. Finally, I don't know why I bothered to pick San Francisco with a home upset against Tampa Bay. On to a short Week 8, with only 13 games due to byes:

Wednesday, October 19, 2016

2016 NFL Picks Week 7

What do you know, a good week! I finished at 9-6, which raised my overall percentage slightly to 52%. Another couple good weeks and I'll be feeling a little better about this year. Though I forgot to add it to last week's post, my Pick of the Week was Buffao which I got correct to improve to 5-1. I was 2 for 4 in upset picks (New Orleans and Jacksonville), which moves me to 8-9 on the year.

The losses started early, as I incorrectly picked Denver to beat San Diego on the road. Pittsburgh were also road favorites, but shit the bed against Miami. I am likely cursed at picking Philadelphia, as they played poorly at Washington. Oakland was unable to pull off the home upset against Kansas City. Green Bay hasn't looked themselves this year, as Dallas came in and beat them easily. Finally, I thought Houston hadn't been playing well so picked them to lose against Indianapolis at home (who was playing better lately), but that didn't happen.

On to Week 7:

Thursday, October 13, 2016

2016 NFL Picks Week 6

This year may really be tougher than usual, as I finished Week 5 at 7-7. I still only have 1 week where I picked above .500, as another 6 upsets this week didn't help. My Pick of the Week (Pittsburgh over New York Jets) was correct at least, and I improve to 4-1. I had 3 upset picks last week, and was only correct in picking Dallas over Cincinnati; I dropped to 6-7 for those picks so far this year. Let's recap the losses again as I hope for a better week!

I figured Arizona would be unable to overcome their poor play and injuries to beat San Francisco on the road, but they did. Miami is looking pretty bad this year, as they lost at home to Tennessee. Washington hasn't looked great, but went on the road to beat Baltimore. Philadelphia were favored to win at Detroit, but only played half the game well (and the refs didn't help) en route to their first loss. Denver was also handed their first loss by Atlanta, but they were at home. In a battle of 2 teams that have looked better as of late, Los Angeles was unable to maintain that level of play as Buffalo came in and beat them handily. Finally, Carolina was unable to win their home matchup against Tampa Bay on a last second FG.

Sunday, October 9, 2016

2016 NFL Picks Week 5

Either I'm just not as accurate this year, or there's been more upsets than usual... I'd like to go with the latter. I finished Week 4 at 7-8, which means I'm barely above .500 at 32-31. I was correct in my Pick of the Week thanks to some bad calls, but I'll take it (3-1 on the season). I was 1 for 2 in upset picks (Oakland at Baltimore), bringing my season total to 5-5. Statistically speaking I would have been better off picking all upsets, as there were a whopping 8 out of 15 games this week.

The losses for me started early on Sunday morning, with Jacksonville holding of Indianapolis in London. From there, I saw Buffalo shut out New England, Seattle traveling to beat the New York Jets, Carolina coming up short in a high scoring game against Atlanta, Detroit losing on the road to Chicago, San Francisco losing at home to Dallas, San Diego blowing the game against New Orleans, and finally Arizona being upset by Los Angeles.

Maybe Week 5 will be more predictable?