Sunday, February 1, 2015

Super Bowl XLIX Pick

Just like last year, the big game (Super Bowl XLIX if you're wondering) will come down to both #1 seeds. The Seattle Seahawks of the NFC will try to defend their title against the New England Patriots of the AFC, and it should be an excellent game. It is in Arizona this year, so weather will not be a factor; in fact there is no favorite for this game as of last night. Before my pick, a brief recap of the Conference Championships.

For the second year in a row I was correct with both conference picks, though it seemed I wouldn't be for a while. The Seattle Seahawks needed a great comeback to overcome MVP Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers. The Indianapolis Colts, however, were unable to overcome "Deflate Gate" as Tom Brady and the New England Patriots rolled over them. Brady will meet the fearsome Seattle D in just a few hours...

Super Bowl XLIX
New England Patriots over Seattle Seahawks, 27-23

Previous Results
Week 1: 11-5
Week 2: 9-7
Week 3: 11-5
Week 4: 5-8
Week 5: 11-4
Week 6: 13-1-1
Week 7: 11-4
Week 8: 9-6
Week 9: 10-3
Week 10: 9-4
Week 11: 8-6
Week 12: 12-3
Week 13: 11-5
Week 14: 9-7
Week 15: 14-2
Week 16: 10-6
Week 17: 11-5
Season: 174-81 (68%)

Wild Card: 2-2
Divisional: 3-1
Conference: 2-0
Playoffs: 7-3 (70%)

Sunday, January 18, 2015

2014 NFL Picks for Conference Championships

I did indeed improve my playoff mark last week, finishing 3-1 for the Divisional Round. I am 5-3 overall during the playoffs, and if I go 3 for 3 during the remaining games I will post my best playoff record thus far.

My only loss came from picking the favorite Denver at home against Indianapolis. I was glad Dallas lost (karma is a bitch), and the other 2 games went how I expected. On to the championship games, which look like they should be very entertaining:

Sunday
Green Bay Packers at Seattle Seahawks
Indianapolis Colts at New England Patriots

no upset picks this week.

Previous Results
Week 1: 11-5
Week 2: 9-7
Week 3: 11-5
Week 4: 5-8
Week 5: 11-4
Week 6: 13-1-1
Week 7: 11-4
Week 8: 9-6
Week 9: 10-3
Week 10: 9-4
Week 11: 8-6
Week 12: 12-3
Week 13: 11-5
Week 14: 9-7
Week 15: 14-2
Week 16: 10-6
Week 17: 11-5
Season: 174-81 (68%)

Wild Card: 2-2
Divisional: 3-1
Playoffs: 5-3 (62.5%)

Saturday, January 10, 2015

2014 NFL Picks for Divisional Round

Finished up 2-2 last week after ending the Saturday games in an 0-2 hole. Not the best start obviously, but better than my 0-4 start to last year's playoffs. I incorrectly picked Arizona to upset Carolina, and should have used that upset pick to choose Baltimore over Pittsburgh. Meanwhile, Cincinnati still can't win a playoff (at Indianapolis last week), and Detroit was the victim of some terrible officiating at Dallas).

Looking to improve this week:

SaturdayBaltimore Ravens at New England Patriots
Carolina Panthers at Seattle Seahawks
SundayDallas Cowboys at Green Bay Packers
Indianapolis Colts at Denver Broncos

no upset picks this week

Previous Results
Week 1: 11-5
Week 2: 9-7
Week 3: 11-5
Week 4: 5-8
Week 5: 11-4
Week 6: 13-1-1
Week 7: 11-4
Week 8: 9-6
Week 9: 10-3
Week 10: 9-4
Week 11: 8-6
Week 12: 12-3
Week 13: 11-5
Week 14: 9-7
Week 15: 14-2
Week 16: 10-6
Week 17: 11-5
Season: 174-81 (68%)

Wild Card: 2-2
Playoffs: 2-2 (50%)

Saturday, January 3, 2015

2014 NFL Picks for Wild Card Weekend

The 2014 NFL regular season is over, but my picks will continue during the playoffs. I ended up finishing the season at a solid 68% after going a respectable 11-5 for Week 17. I correctly picked Houston as my POTW, finishing 15-2 on the season. I was wrong in my 2 upset picks last week, but still finished above .500 at 19-18. All were good for my best totals since I started picking during the 2012 season. I only had 1 week where I picked less than 50%, but countered that with a 13-1-1 and a 14-2 week. Next year I will still try to reach my goal of 70% correct overall, but let's worry about that next year.

Quickly going over my losses before my playoff picks: San Diego was unable to make the playoffs after losing to Kansas City, New England lost a meaningless game against Buffalo, the New York Jets upset Miami, Arizona was unable to upset San Francisco, and Atlanta lost the winner-takes-all division matchup with Carolina. Now for my 2014 Wild Card Weekend playoff picks... keep in mind I was 0-4 last season!

Saturday
Arizona Cardinals at Carolina Panthers
Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers
Sunday
Cincinnati Bengals at Indianapolis Colts
Detroit Lions at Dallas Cowboys

Upset pick as of 1/2 3pm

Previous Results
Week 1: 11-5
Week 2: 9-7
Week 3: 11-5
Week 4: 5-8
Week 5: 11-4
Week 6: 13-1-1
Week 7: 11-4
Week 8: 9-6
Week 9: 10-3
Week 10: 9-4
Week 11: 8-6
Week 12: 12-3
Week 13: 11-5
Week 14: 9-7
Week 15: 14-2
Week 16: 10-6
Week 17: 11-5
Season: 174-81 (68%)

Sunday, December 28, 2014

2014 NFL Picks Week 17

And so we've reached the final week of the 2014 regular season. I ended up with an OK record for Week 16, finishing 10-6 due to a lot of non-competitive games. I would need to be perfect this week to reach my goal of 70% for the season, so I don't think that's going to happen. I did fare well for upset picks however, going 2 for 3 to bring my season total to 19 and 16. Unless I go crazy and pick 4 incorrect upsets this week, I will finish at .500 or better for the season. That's a vast improvement from last year, when I was terrible. I correctly picked Green Bay for my Pick of the Week, and improved to 14-2 for the season.

Well, there were 2 games I lost this week because I really wanted the Eagles to make the playoffs. The first was Philadelphia losing to Washington at home, which was just painful to watch. The second was picking Indianapolis (who had nothing to play for) to beat Dallas on the road. Oops. I was truly surprised that Baltimore could not beat Houston, and I'm pleasantly surprised at how well Houston has played this year to stay in the playoff race. Other losses included St. Louis at home against the New York Giants, Buffalo at Oakland, and Denver at Cincinnati. On to Week 17!

Sunday, 1pm
Dallas Cowboys at Washington Redskins
San Diego Chargers at Kansas City Chiefs
Philadelphia Eagles** at New York Giants
Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots
Indianapolis Colts at Tennessee Titans
Chicago Bears at Minnesota Vikings
New Orleans Saints at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Jacksonville Jaguars at *Houston Texans*
Cleveland Browns at Baltimore Ravens
New York Jets at Miami Dolphins
Sunday, 4:25pm
Oakland Raiders at Denver Broncos
Detroit Lions at Green Bay Packers
St. Louis Rams at Seattle Seahawks
Arizona Cardinals at San Francisco 49ers
Carolina Panthers at Atlanta Falcons
Sunday, 8:30pm
Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers

*Pick of the Week*
upset picks as of 12/28 12:00pm

**no favorite

Previous Results
Week 1: 11-5
Week 2: 9-7
Week 3: 11-5
Week 4: 5-8
Week 5: 11-4
Week 6: 13-1-1
Week 7: 11-4
Week 8: 9-6
Week 9: 10-3
Week 10: 9-4
Week 11: 8-6
Week 12: 12-3
Week 13: 11-5
Week 14: 9-7
Week 15: 14-2
Week 16: 10-6
Season: 163-76 (68%)

Thursday, December 18, 2014

2014 NFL Picks Week 16

I certainly made things much easier on myself to reach my goal of 70% on the season after last week, as I only lost 2 games to go 14-2. It raised my overall percentage back to 68%, and gives me a chance to get 26 more correct picks over the last 2 weeks. I was correct in picking my only upset pick of the week (Arizona over St. Louis) and also my Pick of the Week (Baltimore over Jacksonville). I gave myself a cushion for upset picks (17-15 on the season) and improved to 13-2 for PotW.

I only lost 2 matchups this week, and 1 was certainly not picked by many. Green Bay lost in an upset to Buffalo, and unfortunately Dallas beat Philadelphia on the road. On to Week 16:

Thursday, 8:30pm
Tennessee Titans at Jacksonville Jaguars
Saturday 4:30/8:30pm
Philadelphia Eagles at Washington Redskins
San Diego Chargers at San Francisco 49ers
Sunday, 1pm
Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints
Cleveland Browns at  Carolina Panthers
Baltimore Ravens at Houston Texans
Kansas City Chiefs at Pittsburgh Steelers
*Green Bay Packers* at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
New England Patriots at New York Jets
Detroit Lions at Chicago Bears
Minnesota Vikings at Miami Dolphins
Sunday, 4/4:25pm
New York Giants at St. Louis Rams
Buffalo Bills at Oakland Raiders
Indianapolis Colts at Dallas Cowboys
Sunday, 8:30pm
Seattle Seahawks at Arizona Cardinals
Monday, 8:30pm
Denver Broncos at Cincinnati Bengals

*Pick of the Week*

upset picks as of 12/18 8:15pm

Previous Results
Week 1: 11-5
Week 2: 9-7
Week 3: 11-5
Week 4: 5-8
Week 5: 11-4
Week 6: 13-1-1
Week 7: 11-4
Week 8: 9-6
Week 9: 10-3
Week 10: 9-4
Week 11: 8-6
Week 12: 12-3
Week 13: 11-5
Week 14: 9-7
Week 15: 14-2
Season: 153-70 (68%)

Thursday, December 11, 2014

2014 NFL Picks Week 15

Pretty terrible week last week, finishing 9-7. My overall percentage dropped a point to 67%. I will now need 40 wins over the next 3 weeks to reach my goal of 70% correct for the season. I did manage to correctly pick my Pick of the Week (Green Bay) and was right in my only upset pick (Seattle). Records on those picks are 12-2 and 16-15 respectively, as I am finally above .500 for the season again for upset picks.

I had some bad luck last week, but also some terrible picks. I dropped the first of 2 games with no favorite, as I incorrectly picked Tennessee to win at home over the New York Giants. Once again I cannot predict how Pittsburgh will play with any accuracy, as they easily beat Cincinnati on the road after I thought they'd lose. Another team impossible to predict is New Orleans, who apparently forgot they had a game to play against Carolina. I had contemplated switching my pick in the Baltimore-Miami game to the Ravens, but didn't get to a computer before kickoff. I lost the other game with no favorite, with Arizona finding a way to beat Kansas City. San Francisco somehow lost to Oakland in a game that nobody saw coming. And lastly, I really don't know why I picked San Diego over New England, but I got that game wrong too. On to Week 16, which can't be any worse. Right?

Thursday, 8:30pm
Arizona Cardinals at St. Louis Rams
Sunday, 1pm
Oakland Raiders at Kansas City Chiefs
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Carolina Panthers
Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts
Pittsburgh Steelers at Atlanta Falcons
Miami Dolphins at New England Patriots
Cincinnati Bengals at Cleveland Browns
Green Bay Packers at Buffalo Bills
Washington Redskins at New York Giants
Jacksonville Jaguars at *Baltimore Ravens*
Sunday, 4/4:25pm
New York Jets at Tennessee Titans
Denver Broncos at San Diego Chargers
Minnesota Vikings at Detroit Lions
San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks
Sunday, 8:30pm
Dallas Cowboys at Philadelphia Eagles
Monday, 8:30pm
New Orleans Saints at Chicago Bears

*Pick of the Week*

upset pick as of 12/11 8:00pm

Previous Results
Week 1: 11-5
Week 2: 9-7
Week 3: 11-5
Week 4: 5-8
Week 5: 11-4
Week 6: 13-1-1
Week 7: 11-4
Week 8: 9-6
Week 9: 10-3
Week 10: 9-4
Week 11: 8-6
Week 12: 12-3
Week 13: 11-5
Week 14: 9-7
Season: 139-68 (67%)

Wednesday, December 10, 2014

Thanks for all the good times J-Roll

Longtime Philadelphia Phillies shortstop Jimmy Rollins was traded to the Los Angeles Dodgers today. While his skills have certainly diminished over the last few seasons, there's no denying that J-Roll was a Philadelphia favorite and an excellent player through his tenure as a Phillie. I wish him all the best in LA, but this is my favorite memory from him: